Who's betting on “Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?”?
Pop culture · $821K volume · Ends January 8, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $821K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
76% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
246 wallets hold a position worth $566 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 246 of them. The largest Yes holder is InfiniteCrypt0, with $38 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 202 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is dthrfgnj, with $100 on it, $366 lifetime profit over 141 markets (66% won).
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 149
- Money on it
- $115
- Holders' winrate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 62%
- Holders
- 97
- Money on it
- $451
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| InfiniteCrypt0whale | $38 | +$83K | 80% of 202 |
| pregamee | $20 | -$2.1K | 30% of 145 |
| 300PSwhale | $14 | +$21K | 46% of 1,833 |
| betterfasterstrongernoise | $11 | +$148K | 36% of 251 |
| pleasedontstopthemusicnoise | $4 | +$5.8K | 31% of 201 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| dthrfgnjbalanced | $100 | +$366 | 66% of 141 |
| 0xb7de…b802whale | $65 | +$22K | 47% of 254 |
| holuia | $22 | +$4 | 80% of 25 |
| TYRHRTHbalanced | $20 | +$23 | 68% of 37 |
| Bnokjlive49noise | $20 | +$3.1K | 26% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Highest grossing movie in 2026?
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- Dune: Messiah$732K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day$719K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money: No
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- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$734K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?
246 wallets hold a position worth $566 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 246 of them. The largest Yes holder is InfiniteCrypt0, with $38 on it, $83K lifetime profit over 202 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is dthrfgnj, with $100 on it, $366 lifetime profit over 141 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $821K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.