Who's betting on “Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $249K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 58 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $249K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is Logan., with $650 on it, $354K lifetime profit over 1,001 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $15K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 1Logan.46% won of 1,001 · whale$650+$354K lifetime
- 21nvoker162% won of 1,034 · whale$430+$15K lifetime
- 3nelsonc1970% won of 269$260−$275 lifetime
- 4peterfromfamilyguy56% won of 322 · whale$233+$45K lifetime
- 50xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$91+$61K lifetime
No$27K on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$15K+$1.5M lifetime
- 2reizo55% won of 209 · balanced$2.2K+$767 lifetime
- 3MirAsifAhr68% won of 219 · balanced$1.4K+$66 lifetime
- 4jcsberger65% won of 48 · balanced$1.2K+$982 lifetime
- 5PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$1.2K+$56K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
2 more- December 31, 2028$104K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- December 31, 2029$93K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is Logan., with $650 on it, $354K lifetime profit over 1,001 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $15K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $249K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.