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Who's betting on “Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year?”?

Sports$30K traded24 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes🧠 smart money
99%No

Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$30K
traded all time
Held now
$88
by 24 wallets
Smart share · Yes
71%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
29%
5 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

71% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

Who holds it

24 wallets hold a position worth $88 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is awgraewrfa, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is vinylventonyl, with $53 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 37 markets (78% won).

Yes1%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share71% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 86%a day ago 69%now 71%
Holders
19
Money on it
$13
Holders' win rate
73%
No99%
Smart money share29%
7 days ago 37%a day ago 29%now 29%
Holders
5
Money on it
$75
Holders' win rate
68%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$13 on it

  1. 1awgraewrfa100% won of 5$2−$189 lifetime
  2. 2613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.98% won of 1,007 · whale$2+$21K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$2+$255K lifetime
  4. 494ec255% won of 165 · balanced$1+$6.2K lifetime
  5. 52kparabellum90% won of 154$1−$99 lifetime

No$75 on it

  1. 1vinylventonyl78% won of 37$53−$1.4K lifetime
  2. 2JordanMooney35% won of 2,631 · noise$12+$28K lifetime
  3. 3Tee100054% won of 452 · whale$9+$16K lifetime
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,493 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year?"?

24 wallets hold a position worth $88 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is awgraewrfa, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is vinylventonyl, with $53 on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 37 markets (78% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.