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Who's betting on “Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?”?

Sports$24K traded30 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$47
by 30 wallets
Smart share · Yes
63%
25 scored holders
Smart share · No
100%
5 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

63% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

Who holds it

30 wallets hold a position worth $47 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is awgraewrfa, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is GingerMcKenna, with $12 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 5,022 markets (36% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share63% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 85%a day ago 61%now 63%
Holders
25
Money on it
$15
Holders' win rate
60%
No98%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share100%
7 days ago 100%a day ago 100%now 100%
Holders
5
Money on it
$33
Holders' win rate
73%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$15 on it

  1. 1awgraewrfa100% won of 5$2−$189 lifetime
  2. 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$2+$255K lifetime
  3. 32kparabellum90% won of 154$2−$99 lifetime
  4. 4LKAtrade46% won of 206 · noise$2+$658 lifetime
  5. 5Dreamfull50% won of 262 · balanced$1+$3.1K lifetime

No$33 on it

  1. 1GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$12+$39K lifetime
  2. 2firebirb94% won of 34$10+$15 lifetime
  3. 3peartopear97% won of 32$10+$22 lifetime
  4. 4Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$0+$54K lifetime
  5. 5balthazar53% won of 52,493 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?"?

30 wallets hold a position worth $47 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is awgraewrfa, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is GingerMcKenna, with $12 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 5,022 markets (36% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

63% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.