Who's betting on “Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is SteveTheFish, with $1.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 112 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is e46m3, with $1.5K on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1SteveTheFish67% won of 112 · whale$1.2K+$27K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$259+$38K lifetime
- 3Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$163+$230K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$120+$1.2M lifetime
- 5SpyVsSpy48% won of 243$74−$2.7K lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 1e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$1.5K+$964K lifetime
- 2bZk0Uo70% won of 900 · whale$364+$132 lifetime
- 3chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$324+$22K lifetime
- 4ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$306+$313K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$222−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
1 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is SteveTheFish, with $1.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 112 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is e46m3, with $1.5K on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.