Who's betting on “Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is Tonymountaina, with $745 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 253 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 387411007415611814092217897387, with $186 on it, $102K lifetime profit over 1,806 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $723
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.4K on it
- 1Tonymountaina52% won of 253$745−$5.9K lifetime
- 2IDKAAA63% won of 237$566−$648 lifetime
- 30x9B02FACeF5882179001cd6382730619C39ee826a-178225019265887% won of 189 · balanced$441+$1.8K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,451 · whale$347+$1.2M lifetime
- 5T3tK1ng67% won of 6$308−$192 lifetime
No$723 on it
- 138741100741561181409221789738777% won of 1,806 · whale$186+$102K lifetime
- 2GenaTheBondKilIer46% won of 468 · whale$111+$41K lifetime
- 3HULK99% won of 202 · balanced$90+$9.4K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$70−$377K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$66+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
1 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is Tonymountaina, with $745 on it, $5.9K lifetime loss over 253 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 387411007415611814092217897387, with $186 on it, $102K lifetime profit over 1,806 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 32¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.