
Who's betting on “Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 49 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $49 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $765 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 624 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $192
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$192 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$49−$485K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$35+$255K lifetime
- 3End12362% won of 674$27−$42K lifetime
- 4inno67% won of 207 · balanced$25+$1.3K lifetime
- 5YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$21+$89K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1clazzy169% won of 624 · whale$765+$27K lifetime
- 2rpontici94% won of 344 · grinder$139+$3.7K lifetime
- 3Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$63+$54K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$28+$28K lifetime
- 5winexecutescale54% won of 2,437 · balanced$7+$3.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $49 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $765 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 624 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.