Who's betting on “Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 44% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $10 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is End123, with $1.1K on it, $42K lifetime loss over 674 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$32 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$10−$377K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$5−$485K lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$3−$7.9K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$2+$325K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$2−$8.4K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1End12362% won of 674$1.1K−$42K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$846+$801K lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$5+$570 lifetime
- 4MiracleOracle96% won of 125$3+$100 lifetime
- 50xd2e3…955e37% won of 27$2−$6 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $10 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is End123, with $1.1K on it, $42K lifetime loss over 674 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.