Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $81K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 97 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Yes. $81K has been traded on it.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
97 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them.
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $20
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
14 more- Michael Olise$67K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ousmane Dembélé$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$48K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$47K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Fabian Ruiz$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Erling Haaland$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Vitinha$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Lamine Yamal$22K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Declan Rice$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Achraf Hakimi$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Harry Kane$12K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Jude Bellingham$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pau Cubarsi$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
97 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Yes. $81K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved Yes. $81K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.