Smart money backs Vitinha: 91% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 90 points ahead of No. The price favours Lionel Messi at 100%.
- Markets
- 15 0 still open
- Traded
- $543K across the event
- Favourite
- 100% Lionel Messi
- Smart money pick
- 91% Vitinha
What the money says
The odds
Lionel Messi Yes 100% · Michael Olise Yes 0% · Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0% · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Yes 0% · Rodri Yes 100%.
The smart money
Lionel Messi: smart money split · Michael Olise: smart money on Yes · Ousmane Dembélé: smart money on No · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: smart money on No · Rodri: smart money on No.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- Lionel Messi$81K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Michael Olise$67K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ousmane Dembélé$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$48K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$47K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Fabian Ruiz$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Erling Haaland$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Vitinha$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Lamine Yamal$22K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Declan Rice$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Achraf Hakimi$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Harry Kane$12K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Jude Bellingham$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pau Cubarsi$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Follow the smart money on Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026?
Polkyo scores every holder of the 15 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Lionel Messi Yes 100%, smart money split; Michael Olise Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0%, smart money on No; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Yes 0%, smart money on No; Rodri Yes 100%, smart money on No.
What are the Polymarket odds for Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026?
The biggest: Lionel Messi Yes 100%, smart money split; Michael Olise Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0%, smart money on No; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Yes 0%, smart money on No; Rodri Yes 100%, smart money on No.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.