Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $148K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 123 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $148K has been traded on it.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them.
- Holders
- 129
- Money on it
- $39
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
10 more- Harry Kane$247K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$194K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Lamine Yamal$180K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Ousmane Dembélé$90K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Michael Olise$88K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$71K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$57K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Fabian Ruiz$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Pau Cubarsi$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Erling Haaland$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$4.1M vol.Invictus Gaming 100%LYON 0%Smart money: LYON
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $148K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $148K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.