Smart money backs Rodri: 87% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of No. The price favours Harry Kane at 100%.
- Markets
- 11 0 still open
- Traded
- $1.2M across the event
- Favourite
- 100% Harry Kane
- Smart money pick
- 87% Rodri
What the money says
The odds
Harry Kane Yes 100% · Kylian Mbappé Yes 100% · Lamine Yamal Yes 100% · Lionel Messi Yes 0% · Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0%.
The smart money
Harry Kane: smart money on No · Kylian Mbappé: smart money on No · Lamine Yamal: smart money split · Lionel Messi: smart money split · Ousmane Dembélé: smart money on Yes.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- Harry Kane$247K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$194K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Lamine Yamal$180K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Lionel Messi$148K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Ousmane Dembélé$90K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Michael Olise$88K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$71K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$57K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Fabian Ruiz$56K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Pau Cubarsi$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Erling Haaland$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Follow the smart money on Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026?
Polkyo scores every holder of the 11 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Harry Kane Yes 100%, smart money on No; Kylian Mbappé Yes 100%, smart money on No; Lamine Yamal Yes 100%, smart money split; Lionel Messi Yes 0%, smart money split; Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.
What are the Polymarket odds for Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026?
The biggest: Harry Kane Yes 100%, smart money on No; Kylian Mbappé Yes 100%, smart money on No; Lamine Yamal Yes 100%, smart money split; Lionel Messi Yes 0%, smart money split; Ousmane Dembélé Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.