Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $7 by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 2 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $7 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them.
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $6
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 9%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
8 more- Lamine Yamal$179K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$51K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Harry Kane$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ousmane Dembélé$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michael Olise$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fabian Ruiz$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $7 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 27, 2026 and resolved No. $22K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.