Smart money backs Fabian Ruiz: 88% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of No. The price favours Lamine Yamal at 100%.
- Markets
- 9 0 still open
- Traded
- $361K across the event
- Favourite
- 100% Lamine Yamal
- Smart money pick
- 88% Fabian Ruiz
What the money says
The odds
Lamine Yamal Yes 100% · Kylian Mbappé Yes 0% · Rodri Yes 0% · Harry Kane Yes 0% · Lionel Messi Yes 0%.
The smart money
Lamine Yamal: smart money on No · Kylian Mbappé: smart money on No · Rodri: smart money split · Harry Kane: smart money on Yes · Lionel Messi: smart money on No.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- Lamine Yamal$179K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$51K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Rodri$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Harry Kane$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Lionel Messi$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Ousmane Dembélé$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Michael Olise$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Fabian Ruiz$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Follow the smart money on Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place?
Polkyo scores every holder of the 9 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Lamine Yamal Yes 100%, smart money on No; Kylian Mbappé Yes 0%, smart money on No; Rodri Yes 0%, smart money split; Harry Kane Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Lionel Messi Yes 0%, smart money on No.
What are the Polymarket odds for Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place?
The biggest: Lamine Yamal Yes 100%, smart money on No; Kylian Mbappé Yes 0%, smart money on No; Rodri Yes 0%, smart money split; Harry Kane Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Lionel Messi Yes 0%, smart money on No.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.