Who's betting on “Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?”?
Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 29% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
29% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $379
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
9 more- Zinedine Zidane$23K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money: No
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- Vinícius Júnior$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
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- Kylian Mbappé$11K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Luis Enrique$10K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.