Who's betting on “Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.5K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is ReiToto, with $96 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 258 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $3.0K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $239
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$239 on it
- 1ReiToto98% won of 258 · whale$96+$42K lifetime
- 2VGR2255% won of 462 · whale$67+$67K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$14−$41K lifetime
- 4Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$13−$78K lifetime
- 5VGA63% won of 40$11−$440 lifetime
No$7.2K on it
- 1Parz1vaI72% won of 1,263 · whale$3.0K+$802K lifetime
- 2mpstire-lutuwar80% won of 268 · balanced$1.1K+$19K lifetime
- 3Gl4d60% won of 1,094 · whale$1.0K+$36K lifetime
- 4beatyesterday81% won of 1,167$706−$90K lifetime
- 5nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$378+$80K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
9 more- Lionel Messi$38K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Zinedine Zidane$23K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money: No
- Sergio Ramos$14K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money split
- Vinícius Júnior$25K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Ousmane Dembélé$25K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Vozinha$17K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Rodri$11K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Kylian Mbappé$11K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Luis Enrique$10K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is ReiToto, with $96 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 258 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $3.0K on it, $802K lifetime profit over 1,263 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.