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Who's betting on “Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports$92K traded178 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes🧠 smart money
98%No

Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$92K
traded all time
Held now
$4.6K
by 178 wallets
Smart share · Yes
66%
120 scored holders
Smart share · No
39%
57 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

66% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

Who holds it

178 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is dovetail, with $67 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 473 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.5K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).

Yes2%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share66% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 70%a day ago 69%now 66%
Holders
121
Money on it
$314
Holders' win rate
63%
No98%
Smart money share39%
7 days ago 37%a day ago 39%now 39%
Holders
57
Money on it
$4.3K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$314 on it

  1. 1dovetail80% won of 473 · whale$67+$1.8K lifetime
  2. 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$25+$27K lifetime
  3. 3Sherpal47% won of 219 · whale$18+$144 lifetime
  4. 4leegunner73% won of 1,144 · whale$18+$384K lifetime
  5. 590999064% won of 200$13−$2.8K lifetime

No$4.3K on it

  1. 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$1.5K−$59K lifetime
  2. 2thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$503+$10K lifetime
  3. 30xa8485E499d597746088ed85f15f4693FB1C78A1F-177119160673360% won of 50$333−$66 lifetime
  4. 4penguinec28% won of 2,459 · noise$226+$12K lifetime
  5. 5mwenya51% won of 1,059 · whale$222+$114K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

178 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is dovetail, with $67 on it, $1.8K lifetime profit over 473 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $1.5K on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

66% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.