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Who's betting on “Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports$134K traded91 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$134K
traded all time
Held now
$33
by 91 wallets
Smart share · Yes
75%
82 scored holders
Smart share · No
11%
9 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $134K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

75% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.

Who holds it

91 wallets hold a position worth $33 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is ynadinsky, with $1 on it, $353 lifetime profit over 40 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is bgr19, with $25 on it, $293 lifetime loss over 126 markets (63% won).

Yes0%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share75%
7 days ago 77%a day ago 75%now 75%
Holders
82
Money on it
$5
Holders' win rate
51%
No100%
Smart money share11%
7 days ago 26%a day ago 11%now 11%
Holders
9
Money on it
$28
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$5 on it

  1. 1ynadinsky65% won of 40 · balanced$1+$353 lifetime
  2. 22kparabellum90% won of 154$1−$99 lifetime
  3. 3labistiiia30% won of 638 · noise$0+$174 lifetime
  4. 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$0+$27K lifetime
  5. 5caviaro43% won of 210 · noise$0+$6.5K lifetime

No$28 on it

  1. 1bgr1963% won of 126$25−$293 lifetime
  2. 2GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$2+$39K lifetime
  3. 3wokerjoesleeper91% won of 1,108 · whale$1+$597K lifetime
  4. 4luminae83% won of 229 · balanced$0+$70 lifetime
  5. 5godblessme202628% won of 23,100 · noise$0+$69K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

91 wallets hold a position worth $33 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is ynadinsky, with $1 on it, $353 lifetime profit over 40 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is bgr19, with $25 on it, $293 lifetime loss over 126 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $134K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

75% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.