Who's betting on “Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $759 by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 14% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $759 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $124 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is btfrs, with $292 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 227 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $339
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $420
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$339 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$124+$203K lifetime
- 238741100741561181409221789738777% won of 1,806 · whale$39+$102K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$31+$255K lifetime
- 4suoha5188100% won of 2$29+$734 lifetime
- 5BigMackyG71% won of 228 · whale$19+$44K lifetime
No$420 on it
- 1btfrs77% won of 227$292−$1.3K lifetime
- 2ChoiceMeteor252094% won of 2,625$47−$8.1K lifetime
- 3jcsberger65% won of 48 · balanced$47+$982 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$19−$49K lifetime
- 5wert460% won of 696 · balanced$12+$615 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
3 more- No IPO by December 31, 2027$82K vol.Yes 52%No 48%Smart money: Yes
- 8–11B$23K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- <5B$19K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $759 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $124 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is btfrs, with $292 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 227 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.