Who's betting on “Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dolly22, with $48 on it, $2.3K lifetime loss over 125 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.5K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $270
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$270 on it
- 1Dolly2241% won of 125$48−$2.3K lifetime
- 2planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$45+$132K lifetime
- 3Leclerc0450% won of 1,216 · balanced$37+$3.7K lifetime
- 4JesusFK2% won of 1,490$30−$16K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$22+$255K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.5K+$203K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,296$19−$52K lifetime
- 30xfa017f4Ce8CC89D517C3b5Caf0557C36B449800a-178253567129393% won of 771 · grinder$14+$166 lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$11+$570 lifetime
- 50xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-178176949978895% won of 1,703 · balanced$10+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
3 more- No IPO by December 31, 2027$82K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Smart money: Yes
- 11–14B$28K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- 8–11B$23K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dolly22, with $48 on it, $2.3K lifetime loss over 125 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.5K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.