Who's betting on “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $294K traded all time
- Held now
- $81K by 176 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 123 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $294K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
Who holds it
176 wallets hold a position worth $81K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is ilovemath, with $2.6K on it, $714 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is tourists, with $9.5K on it, $517K lifetime profit over 944 markets (69% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4.3K on No.
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 123
- Money on it
- $76K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4.3K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.1K on it
- 1ilovemathno record yet$2.6K−$714 lifetime
- 2MrGrinche67% won of 15$315−$921 lifetime
- 3Burgerflipp83% won of 29 · balanced$286+$848 lifetime
- 4wqujvj75% won of 93 · balanced$211+$9.8K lifetime
- 587q35hg42875gh4290175842% won of 219 · noise$110+$67 lifetime
No$76K on it
- 1tourists69% won of 944 · whale$9.5K+$517K lifetime
- 2Dropper61% won of 1,050 · whale$9.5K+$1.6M lifetime
- 3Parz1vaI72% won of 1,263 · whale$6.6K+$802K lifetime
- 4gmeowcl70% won of 64$5.3K−$8.1K lifetime
- 50x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C2980% won of 202 · whale$5.1K+$111K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
2 more- December 31, 2027$91K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money split
- December 31, 2028$61K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $81K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is ilovemath, with $2.6K on it, $714 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is tourists, with $9.5K on it, $517K lifetime profit over 944 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $294K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.