Who's betting on “Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $96K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 86 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $96K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $15 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,842 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616, with $5.4K on it, $120K lifetime profit over 724 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $71
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$71 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$15+$1.2M lifetime
- 2Dragontree59% won of 1,113 · whale$14+$152K lifetime
- 3DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$6+$35K lifetime
- 4Euan42% won of 210 · noise$5+$471K lifetime
- 5gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$4+$6.7K lifetime
No$10K on it
- 10x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 724 · whale$5.4K+$120K lifetime
- 2dontshowmyname83% won of 224 · whale$1.7K+$42K lifetime
- 3flovertaco59% won of 294 · whale$1.1K+$24K lifetime
- 4Hakei.71% won of 1,028 · whale$997+$91K lifetime
- 5peterfromfamilyguy56% won of 322 · whale$267+$45K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in In which month will Anthropic IPO?
13 more- November 2026$127K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- December 2026$69K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- No IPO before 2028$23K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- January 2027$22K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- March 2027$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- April 2027$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- February 2027$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- May 2027$13K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- June 2027$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- October 2027$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- September 2027$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- July 2027$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- September 2026$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $15 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,842 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616, with $5.4K on it, $120K lifetime profit over 724 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $96K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.