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Who's betting on “Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?”?

Finance$23K traded41 holdersEnds January 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes🧠 smart money
100%No

Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$248
by 41 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
21%
9 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

Who holds it

41 wallets hold a position worth $248 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $12 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 842 markets (17% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $133 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).

Yes1%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72% ▼ 13 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 81%a day ago 85%now 72%
Holders
32
Money on it
$68
Holders' win rate
48%
No100%
Smart money share21% ▼ 8 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 63%a day ago 28%now 21%
Holders
9
Money on it
$180
Holders' win rate
48%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$68 on it

  1. 1fiter17% won of 842 · noise$12+$50K lifetime
  2. 2FortunaFelix40% won of 1,235$11−$2.2K lifetime
  3. 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$7+$132K lifetime
  4. 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$6+$170K lifetime
  5. 5ifyouloveme49% won of 512 · whale$5+$17K lifetime

No$180 on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,325$133−$53K lifetime
  2. 2GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,074 · noise$30+$42K lifetime
  3. 378668594% won of 18$10−$0 lifetime
  4. 4wert460% won of 696 · balanced$5+$615 lifetime
  5. 5Teverria99% won of 99 · grinder$1+$208 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?"?

41 wallets hold a position worth $248 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $12 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 842 markets (17% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $133 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.