Who's betting on “Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $51 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is JT716, with $853 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 202 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $200
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$200 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$51−$485K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$46−$378K lifetime
- 3SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$25+$15K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$23+$254K lifetime
- 50x.4a51476% won of 33 · balanced$12+$162 lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 1JT71685% won of 202 · whale$853+$19K lifetime
- 2jcsberger65% won of 48 · balanced$493+$982 lifetime
- 3zctrading83% won of 36 · balanced$465+$1.9K lifetime
- 4ourdemocracy279% won of 550 · whale$229+$6.6K lifetime
- 5Peremiriya69% won of 202 · whale$92+$5.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
3 more- ↓$65B$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↑$200B$14K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- ↓$70B$10K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $51 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is JT716, with $853 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 202 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 63 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.