Who's betting on “Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $834 by 21 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
Who holds it
21 wallets hold a position worth $834 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $17 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $728 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $46
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $788
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$46 on it
- 1thecaricature44% won of 717$17−$7.9K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$7+$254K lifetime
- 3BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$6+$7.9K lifetime
- 4Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$6+$6.4K lifetime
- 5SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$3+$15K lifetime
No$788 on it
- 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$728+$801K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,967 · noise$40+$28K lifetime
- 3EconProf83% won of 396 · balanced$21+$235 lifetime
- 4Pol7StrategyBuilder1% won of 2,418$0−$27K lifetime
- 5RazuchiDISNEY2% won of 1,571$0−$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
3 more- ↓$75B$22K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- ↓$65B$14K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↓$70B$10K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?"?
21 wallets hold a position worth $834 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $17 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $728 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 5, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 5, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.