Who's betting on “Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 25 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
Who holds it
25 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them.
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $76
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
4 more- Allegiant$39K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- JetBlue$38K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money split
- Frontier Airlines$37K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Alaska Airlines$36K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?"?
25 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 25 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.