Who's betting on “Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 31 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
Who holds it
31 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $59 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is devin.lawson.77, with $2.7K on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 174 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $190
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$190 on it
- 1Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$59+$154K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$31−$7.9K lifetime
- 3Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$28+$44K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$27+$255K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$14−$485K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1devin.lawson.7775% won of 174 · balanced$2.7K+$7.8K lifetime
- 2roadstar69% won of 35 · balanced$189+$103 lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$160+$570 lifetime
- 4fdfrhaer100% won of 16$47+$5 lifetime
- 5trademysoul84% won of 25$47+$12 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
4 more- Allegiant$39K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- JetBlue$38K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money split
- Frontier Airlines$37K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- American Airlines$19K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?"?
31 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $59 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is devin.lawson.77, with $2.7K on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 174 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.