Who's betting on “OpenAI IPO before 2027?”?
Finance · $610K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $610K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
51% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
553 wallets hold a position worth $84K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 553 of them. The largest Yes holder is mwenya, with $399 on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is 0xe617…f251, with $10K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 1,010 markets (90% won).
- Smart money share
- 51%
- Holders
- 328
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 72%
- Holders
- 225
- Money on it
- $81K
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mwenyawhale | $399 | +$116K | 51% of 1,058 |
| StupidMonkeyyywhale | $188 | +$6.3K | 49% of 244 |
| PoppingChairman | $134 | -$19K | 76% of 54 |
| 0xhanxyz | $133 | +$1.2K | 79% of 14 |
| zZzzZZzzz1 | $127 | -$4.8K | 94% of 200 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe617…f251 | $10K | -$49K | 90% of 1,010 |
| DEGENKHANwhale | $8.9K | +$105K | 74% of 1,139 |
| nelbal8486whale | $7.2K | +$24K | 82% of 104 |
| jcsbergerbalanced | $6.6K | +$980 | 64% of 47 |
| earshot.zenith | $6.1K | +$871 | 75% of 4 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic$690K vol.Yes 77%No 23%Smart money: No
- Ledger$515K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Databricks$495K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Discord$492K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Anduril$365K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Stripe$269K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Freddie Mac$246K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Brex$222K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Celonis$212K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Applied Intuition$207K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Fannie Mae$182K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Mistral AI$167K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ripple Labs$159K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ramp$158K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Vanta$150K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Deel$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Rippling$122K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Anysphere (Cursor)$107K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Epic Games$99K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Revolut$62K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Anduril Industries$58K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Remote IPO before 2027?$56K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Waymo$55K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Glean$52K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI IPO before 2027?"?
553 wallets hold a position worth $84K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 553 of them. The largest Yes holder is mwenya, with $399 on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is 0xe617…f251, with $10K on it, $49K lifetime loss over 1,010 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI IPO before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $610K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.