Who's betting on “Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?”?
Finance · $207K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 23, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $207K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
49% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
108 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DD999, with $29 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 153 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0xF2875d0270753a6b9Ea4BC2cA3d30bcA940014f0-1756666744538, with $613 on it, $0 lifetime profit.
- Smart money share
- 49%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $104
- Holders' winrate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 47%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DD999 | $29 | -$7.3K | 25% of 153 |
| unrealjim | $16 | -$12K | 74% of 27 |
| spartatradingwhale | $7 | +$27K | 45% of 1,168 |
| Peryperynoise | $6 | +$43K | 30% of 413 |
| 5atkawhale | $6 | +$10.0K | 59% of 224 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xF2875d0270753a6b9Ea4BC2cA3d30bcA940014f0-1756666744538 | $613 | +$0 | - |
| PCMTestwhale | $389 | +$13K | 77% of 428 |
| immanuelcanwhale | $386 | +$39K | 78% of 1,010 |
| StanleyGao | $372 | -$193 | 96% of 201 |
| cowcatwhale | $320 | +$45K | 68% of 1,058 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in IPOs before 2027?
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- Discord$492K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
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- Freddie Mac$246K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
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- Remote IPO before 2027?$56K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Waymo$55K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Glean$52K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DD999, with $29 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 153 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is 0xF2875d0270753a6b9Ea4BC2cA3d30bcA940014f0-1756666744538, with $613 on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $207K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.