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Who's betting on “Spread: Kraken (-1.5)”?

Sports$15K traded31 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
27%Kraken
74%Maple Leafs🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Maple Leafs: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 60 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$16K
by 31 wallets
Smart share · Kraken
0%
4 scored holders
Smart share · Maple Leafs
60%
27 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Kraken at 27¢ and Maple Leafs at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of Maple Leafs. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

0% of the money on Kraken and 60% of the money on Maple Leafs is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Maple Leafs, by 60 points.

Who holds it

31 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Kraken holder is taylorsversion, with $4.2K on it, $861K lifetime loss over 134 markets (93% won). The largest Maple Leafs holder is HomeRunHazard, with $6.7K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,104 markets (56% won).

Kraken27%
Smart money share0%
Holders
4
Money on it
$4.3K
Holders' win rate
92%
Maple Leafs74%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share60%
Holders
27
Money on it
$12K
Holders' win rate
58%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Kraken$4.3K on it

  1. 1taylorsversion93% won of 134$4.2K−$861K lifetime
  2. 2282967% won of 500$39−$51K lifetime
  3. 3stcharlos247% won of 2,736 · whale$2+$11K lifetime
  4. 4ameisgoat1150% won of 11,929 · whale$1+$76K lifetime

Maple Leafs$12K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,104 · whale$6.7K+$2.9M lifetime
  2. 20x6f72…084167% won of 200$1.9K−$13K lifetime
  3. 3ferdinand247% won of 19,010$1.9K−$33K lifetime
  4. 4CAcap85% won of 7,095$735−$73K lifetime
  5. 50xheavy88869% won of 5,712 · whale$147+$553K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Kraken (-1.5)"?

31 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Kraken holder is taylorsversion, with $4.2K on it, $861K lifetime loss over 134 markets (93% won). The largest Maple Leafs holder is HomeRunHazard, with $6.7K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,104 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Kraken (-1.5)"?

Polymarket prices Kraken at 27¢ and Maple Leafs at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of Maple Leafs. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

0% of the money on Kraken and 60% of the money on Maple Leafs is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Maple Leafs, by 60 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.