
Who's betting on “Spread: Magic (-3.5)”?
Smart money leans Wizards: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Magic
- 25% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · Wizards
- 88% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Magic at 48¢ and Wizards at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of Wizards. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
25% of the money on Magic and 88% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 63 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Magic holder is ComingBack, with $4.6K on it, $661K lifetime loss over 695 markets (97% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.2K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $6.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 92%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $7.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsMagic$6.4K on it
- 1ComingBack97% won of 695$4.6K−$661K lifetime
- 2DolphinBaller94% won of 115 · balanced$768+$26K lifetime
- 3monkeymashingkeyboard90% won of 745 · whale$261+$1.1M lifetime
- 40x430Df9Fc7525788F162804eba5ad009bA1ae3f6a-177179878958524% won of 27,555$149+$240K lifetime
- 53879187398418945% won of 99,213 · whale$135+$210K lifetime
Wizards$7.0K on it
- 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$2.2K+$3.0M lifetime
- 2ferrariChampions202658% won of 30,678 · whale$1.2K+$2.4M lifetime
- 3Herdonia60% won of 3,371 · whale$848+$57K lifetime
- 4LuckyLoo70% won of 27,371 · whale$692+$59K lifetime
- 5distillation97% won of 63$495−$101K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Wizards vs. Magic
8 more- Wizards vs. Magic$207K vol.Wizards 42%Magic 59%Smart money split
- O/U 225.5$134K vol.Over 49%Under 52%Smart money: Under
- O/U 224.5$94K vol.Over 52%Under 49%Smart money: Over
- Spread -2.5$72K vol.Magic 51%Wizards 50%Smart money: Wizards
- O/U 226.5$31K vol.Over 48%Under 53%Smart money split
- O/U 222.5$9.0K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$7.5K vol.Magic 56%Wizards 45%Too little scored money to compare
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5$5.8K vol.Yes 61%No 40%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Magic (-3.5)"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Magic holder is ComingBack, with $4.6K on it, $661K lifetime loss over 695 markets (97% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $2.2K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Magic (-3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Magic at 48¢ and Wizards at 53¢, a 53% implied chance of Wizards. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Magic and 88% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.