Who's betting on “Wizards vs. Magic”?
Smart money leans Magic: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $259K traded all time
- Held now
- $237K by 595 wallets
- Smart share · Wizards
- 52% 370 scored holders
- Smart share · Magic
- 59% 176 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Wizards at 51¢ and Magic at 50¢, a 51% implied chance of Wizards. $259K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Wizards and 59% of the money on Magic is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Magic, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Magic, by 37 points.
Who holds it
595 wallets hold a position worth $237K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 546 of them. The largest Wizards holder is FlamePyro, with $15K on it, $53K lifetime loss over 245 markets (51% won). The largest Magic holder is NS13, with $30K on it, $427K lifetime profit over 1,367 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $28 on Wizards.
- Holders
- 413
- Money on it
- $120K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $28
- Holders
- 182
- Money on it
- $117K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsWizards$120K on it
- 1FlamePyro51% won of 245$15K−$53K lifetime
- 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$14K+$3.0M lifetime
- 3big8betz46% won of 61 · noise$12K+$101K lifetime
- 4nigiri9946% won of 18,361$7.9K−$1.3M lifetime
- 50x724924919B3d684cE0400BC307788521d5Cef5Da-178608751507080% won of 1,367$7.8K−$58K lifetime
Magic$117K on it
- 1NS1347% won of 1,367 · whale$30K+$427K lifetime
- 20xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-176523168781651% won of 762$16K−$352K lifetime
- 3monkeymashingkeyboard90% won of 745 · whale$12K+$1.1M lifetime
- 4Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$11K−$181K lifetime
- 5takeormake64% won of 6,999 · whale$8.0K+$986K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Wizards vs. Magic
8 more- Spread -2.5$160K vol.Magic 42%Wizards 59%Smart money: Wizards
- O/U 225.5$139K vol.Over 63%Under 37%Smart money: Under
- O/U 224.5$95K vol.Over 65%Under 36%Smart money: Over
- O/U 226.5$33K vol.Over 60%Under 41%Smart money split
- Spread -3.5$17K vol.Magic 38%Wizards 62%Smart money: Wizards
- O/U 222.5$9.0K vol.Over 70%Under 31%Too little scored money to compare
- Spread -1.5$7.5K vol.Magic 45%Wizards 56%Too little scored money to compare
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5$5.8K vol.Yes 50%No 50%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.8M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Wizards vs. Magic"?
595 wallets hold a position worth $237K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 546 of them. The largest Wizards holder is FlamePyro, with $15K on it, $53K lifetime loss over 245 markets (51% won). The largest Magic holder is NS13, with $30K on it, $427K lifetime profit over 1,367 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Wizards vs. Magic"?
Polymarket prices Wizards at 51¢ and Magic at 50¢, a 51% implied chance of Wizards. $259K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Wizards and 59% of the money on Magic is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Magic, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Magic, by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.