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Who's betting on “Spread: Magic (-2.5)”?

Sports$72K traded90 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated November 3, 2026
52%Magic
49%Wizards

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$72K
traded all time
Held now
$69K
by 90 wallets
Smart share · Magic
95%
41 scored holders
Smart share · Wizards
93%
46 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Magic at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Magic. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

95% of the money on Magic and 93% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

Who holds it

90 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Magic holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $30K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 745 markets (90% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $16K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).

Magic52%
Smart money share95%
Holders
42
Money on it
$36K
Holders' win rate
85%
Wizards49%
Smart money share93%
Holders
48
Money on it
$33K
Holders' win rate
59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Magic$36K on it

  1. 1monkeymashingkeyboard90% won of 745 · whale$30K+$1.1M lifetime
  2. 2Gongsij33% won of 6$1.5K+$4 lifetime
  3. 30x5fda…e4cb64% won of 11$937
  4. 4nibnibinibi51% won of 441$773−$18K lifetime
  5. 5Multicoloured-Serf75% won of 306$507−$181K lifetime

Wizards$33K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,745 · whale$16K+$3.0M lifetime
  2. 2ferrariChampions202658% won of 30,678 · whale$13K+$2.4M lifetime
  3. 373963378692% won of 266$1.1K−$123K lifetime
  4. 4JaJaFai55% won of 264$526−$19K lifetime
  5. 5flaviocaballero2233100% won of 48 · balanced$485+$1.6K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Magic (-2.5)"?

90 wallets hold a position worth $69K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Magic holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $30K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 745 markets (90% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $16K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,745 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Magic (-2.5)"?

Polymarket prices Magic at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Magic. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Magic and 93% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.