Who's betting on “Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)”?
Sports · $23K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 9¢ and Warriors at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of Warriors. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
52% of the money on Nuggets and 69% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 17 points.
86 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $912 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 73,921 markets (47% won). The largest Warriors holder is 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0, with $1.8K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 5,721 markets (64% won).
- Smart money share
- 52%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 69%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396 | $912 | -$4.0M | 47% of 73,921 |
| HONGKONGPEACHwhale | $693 | +$39K | 91% of 228 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $195 | +$2.8M | 56% of 20,389 |
| RN1whale | $127 | +$13M | 60% of 34,373 |
| BullishBarbwhale | $66 | +$88K | 65% of 1,654 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0whale | $1.8K | +$80K | 64% of 5,721 |
| takeormakewhale | $1.7K | +$914K | 65% of 4,978 |
| MaoZeDonK | $1.4K | -$194K | 92% of 378 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $1.4K | +$1.4M | 53% of 131,488 |
| SlickRick123whale | $1.3K | +$40K | 46% of 11,232 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Warriors vs. Nuggets
- Warriors vs. Nuggets$3.1M vol.Warriors 81%Nuggets 20%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -7.5$1.5M vol.Nuggets 4%Warriors 97%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -2.5$421K vol.Nuggets 13%Warriors 87%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -1.5$334K vol.Nuggets 17%Warriors 83%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -6.5$164K vol.Nuggets 6%Warriors 95%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -8.5$127K vol.Nuggets 4%Warriors 96%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -9.5$99K vol.Nuggets 3%Warriors 97%Smart money split
- O/U 237.5$67K vol.Over 83%Under 18%Smart money: Over
- O/U 235.5$64K vol.Over 84%Under 16%Smart money: Over
- O/U 233.5$53K vol.Over 89%Under 11%Smart money: Over
- O/U 239.5$46K vol.Over 71%Under 30%Smart money: Over
- O/U 241.5$46K vol.Over 65%Under 36%Smart money: Over
- Spread -5.5$36K vol.Nuggets 8%Warriors 93%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -3.5$16K vol.Nuggets 12%Warriors 89%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -4.5$14K vol.Warriors 65%Nuggets 35%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$10K vol.Warriors 54%Nuggets 46%Smart money split
- O/U 232.5$7.3K vol.Over 90%Under 10%Smart money: Over
- O/U 243.5$6.2K vol.Over 60%Under 40%Smart money: Over
- Spread -2.5$6.0K vol.Warriors 76%Nuggets 24%Smart money split
- Spread -10.5$5.0K vol.Warriors 38%Nuggets 63%Smart money split
- Spread -8.5$4.6K vol.Warriors 47%Nuggets 54%Smart money split
- O/U 231.5$4.2K vol.Over 94%Under 6%Smart money: Under
- O/U 245.5$4.1K vol.Over 50%Under 50%Smart money split
- O/U 249.5$3.5K vol.Over 36%Under 65%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $912 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 73,921 markets (47% won). The largest Warriors holder is 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0, with $1.8K on it, $80K lifetime profit over 5,721 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 9¢ and Warriors at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of Warriors. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Nuggets and 69% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Warriors, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.