Who's betting on “Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)”?
Sports · $421K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 13¢ and Warriors at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Warriors. $421K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
99% of the money on Nuggets and 2% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Nuggets, by 96 points.
84 wallets hold a position worth $393K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $49K on it, $4.7M lifetime profit over 5,873 markets (46% won). The largest Warriors holder is googleplay, with $288K on it, $476K lifetime loss over 41 markets (76% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $10 on Warriors.
- Smart money share
- 99%
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $98K
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 2%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $295K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $10
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $49K | +$4.7M | 46% of 5,873 |
| yabanciwhale | $27K | +$374K | 60% of 65 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghighwhale | $14K | +$285K | 57% of 1,389 |
| lightotunnel35balanced | $2.0K | +$21K | 86% of 70 |
| gagarin59whale | $1.8K | +$87K | 67% of 768 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| googleplay | $288K | -$476K | 76% of 41 |
| justaluckydudewhale | $2.6K | +$1.4M | 62% of 12,618 |
| takeormakewhale | $1.1K | +$914K | 65% of 4,978 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $1.0K | +$1.4M | 53% of 131,488 |
| 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0whale | $423 | +$80K | 64% of 5,721 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Warriors vs. Nuggets
- Warriors vs. Nuggets$3.1M vol.Warriors 81%Nuggets 20%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -7.5$1.5M vol.Nuggets 4%Warriors 97%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -1.5$334K vol.Nuggets 17%Warriors 83%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -6.5$164K vol.Nuggets 6%Warriors 95%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -8.5$127K vol.Nuggets 4%Warriors 96%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -9.5$99K vol.Nuggets 3%Warriors 97%Smart money split
- O/U 237.5$67K vol.Over 83%Under 18%Smart money: Over
- O/U 235.5$64K vol.Over 84%Under 16%Smart money: Over
- O/U 233.5$53K vol.Over 89%Under 11%Smart money: Over
- O/U 239.5$46K vol.Over 71%Under 30%Smart money: Over
- O/U 241.5$46K vol.Over 65%Under 36%Smart money: Over
- Spread -5.5$36K vol.Nuggets 8%Warriors 93%Smart money: Nuggets
- Spread -4.5$23K vol.Nuggets 9%Warriors 91%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -3.5$16K vol.Nuggets 12%Warriors 89%Smart money: Warriors
- Spread -4.5$14K vol.Warriors 65%Nuggets 35%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$10K vol.Warriors 54%Nuggets 46%Smart money split
- O/U 232.5$7.3K vol.Over 90%Under 10%Smart money: Over
- O/U 243.5$6.2K vol.Over 60%Under 40%Smart money: Over
- Spread -2.5$6.0K vol.Warriors 76%Nuggets 24%Smart money split
- Spread -10.5$5.0K vol.Warriors 38%Nuggets 63%Smart money split
- Spread -8.5$4.6K vol.Warriors 47%Nuggets 54%Smart money split
- O/U 231.5$4.2K vol.Over 94%Under 6%Smart money: Under
- O/U 245.5$4.1K vol.Over 50%Under 50%Smart money split
- O/U 249.5$3.5K vol.Over 36%Under 65%Smart money split
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.2M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $393K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Nuggets holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $49K on it, $4.7M lifetime profit over 5,873 markets (46% won). The largest Warriors holder is googleplay, with $288K on it, $476K lifetime loss over 41 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Nuggets at 13¢ and Warriors at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Warriors. $421K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Nuggets and 2% of the money on Warriors is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Nuggets, by 96 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.