
Who's betting on “Spread: Hawks (-3.5)”?
Smart money leans Hawks: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $22K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Hawks
- 94% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · Pelicans
- 50% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Hawks at 55¢ and Pelicans at 46¢, a 55% implied chance of Hawks. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Hawks and 50% of the money on Pelicans is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hawks, by 43 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Hawks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $11K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 730 markets (90% won). The largest Pelicans holder is nigiri99, with $4.6K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 17,780 markets (47% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $10.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsHawks$12K on it
- 1monkeymashingkeyboard90% won of 730 · whale$11K+$1.1M lifetime
- 2Mximus46% won of 90$354−$8.0K lifetime
- 30xaA0E2d9E050184ae1F85667EcB3f1C0af5222A0E-178051317792686% won of 342$158−$88K lifetime
- 4Herdonia60% won of 3,255 · whale$107+$57K lifetime
- 50x187b…884844% won of 270$102−$11K lifetime
Pelicans$10.0K on it
- 1nigiri9947% won of 17,780$4.6K−$1.3M lifetime
- 2dv-pm40% won of 1,928 · noise$3.1K+$180K lifetime
- 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,331 · whale$1.4K+$3.0M lifetime
- 4strawberrycreek56% won of 215$247−$31K lifetime
- 5SunlineTicker72% won of 1,594 · whale$134+$330K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Hawks vs. Pelicans
7 more- Hawks vs. Pelicans$93K vol.Hawks 63%Pelicans 38%Smart money split
- Spread -4.5$72K vol.Hawks 50%Pelicans 51%Smart money: Hawks
- O/U 239.5$35K vol.Over 55%Under 46%Smart money: Over
- O/U 238.5$15K vol.Over 56%Under 45%Smart money: Over
- O/U 242.5$11K vol.Over 47%Under 53%Smart money: Under
- O/U 240.5$11K vol.Over 52%Under 49%Too little scored money to compare
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5$7.9K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Too little scored money to compare
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Hawks (-3.5)"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Hawks holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $11K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 730 markets (90% won). The largest Pelicans holder is nigiri99, with $4.6K on it, $1.3M lifetime loss over 17,780 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hawks (-3.5)"?
Polymarket prices Hawks at 55¢ and Pelicans at 46¢, a 55% implied chance of Hawks. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Hawks and 50% of the money on Pelicans is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Hawks, by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.