Who's betting on “Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 5, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $45 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,319 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.4K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $255
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$255 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,319 · whale$45+$1.2M lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$30−$377K lifetime
- 3SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$25+$15K lifetime
- 40x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-177788278671557% won of 416 · whale$20+$6.3K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,031$17−$49K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$1.4K+$91K lifetime
- 2WatchTheTape80% won of 366$157−$10.0K lifetime
- 3HerlihyM9257% won of 534 · whale$88+$39K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$43+$254K lifetime
- 50x1E4Dff2359D353D0830bcC21418f8e4a53C3B07E-1774817458851100% won of 6$37+$34 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Manchester City punishment announced by...?
3 more- November 20$14K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- December 18$12K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: No
- October 23$10K vol. · ClosedYes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$4.1M vol.Invictus Gaming 100%LYON 0%Smart money: LYON
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $45 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,319 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.4K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.