Who's betting on “Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is OrangeApple, with $86 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 204 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.4K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $526
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$526 on it
- 1OrangeApple36% won of 204$86−$5.4K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$71−$377K lifetime
- 3lianardano record yet$58+$0 lifetime
- 4JesusFK2% won of 1,260$54−$15K lifetime
- 5Bobic61% won of 462 · balanced$38+$5.3K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$1.4K+$91K lifetime
- 2HerlihyM9257% won of 534 · whale$141+$39K lifetime
- 3Eske0050% won of 2$98+$48 lifetime
- 4TheMasterMind71% won of 267 · balanced$76+$4.3K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$54−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Manchester City punishment announced by...?
3 more- November 20$14K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- December 4$13K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- October 23$10K vol. · ClosedYes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is OrangeApple, with $86 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 204 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $1.4K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.