Who's betting on “LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $58K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 35 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 11¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 26, 2028.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
35 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is JoeMaserati, with $779 on it, $21K lifetime loss over 650 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is PaddyAlpha, with $157 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $200 on Yes.
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 2 · $200
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $202
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1JoeMaserati95% won of 650$779−$21K lifetime
- 2bobbet53% won of 397$248−$3.5K lifetime
- 3DREAMBIG.82% won of 295 · sniper$111+$146K lifetime
- 4FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$89+$244K lifetime
- 5Praescientia55% won of 867 · whale$52+$1.3K lifetime
No$202 on it
- 1PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$157+$56K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$20−$485K lifetime
- 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$11−$173K lifetime
- 4qqqppp-l138% won of 7,200 · noise$6+$10K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$2−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$37M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.3M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: No
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Thunder vs. Mavericks$3.2M vol.Thunder 0%Mavericks 100%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is JoeMaserati, with $779 on it, $21K lifetime loss over 650 markets (95% won). The largest No holder is PaddyAlpha, with $157 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 11¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 26, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 26, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.