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Who's betting on US economic state at the end of 2026??

Q: Who is betting on US economic state at the end of 2026??

Polkyo scores every holder of the 4 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 3%, smart money on No; Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 95%, smart money on Yes; Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.

Q: What are the Polymarket odds for US economic state at the end of 2026??

The biggest: Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 3%, smart money on No; Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 95%, smart money on Yes; Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.

Q: What is smart money share?

The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.

Economy4 markets$129K traded

95%Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

3%Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

Smart money backs Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%): 93% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of No. The price favours Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) at 95%.

Markets: 4
Traded: $129K
Favourite: 95%
Smart money pick: 93%

📊 Every market in this event 🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 3% · Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 95% · Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 0% · Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 0%.

The smart money

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%): smart money on No · Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): smart money on Yes · Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): smart money on Yes · Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%): smart money on Yes.

Every market in this event

the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each

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Follow the smart money on US economic state at the end of 2026?, as it happens.

Smart money flowWhat well-rated wallets just bought and sold, across every market.Whale radarBig and unusual position changes the moment the scanner sees them.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

Questions

Who is betting on US economic state at the end of 2026??

Polkyo scores every holder of the 4 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 3%, smart money on No; Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 95%, smart money on Yes; Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.

What are the Polymarket odds for US economic state at the end of 2026??

The biggest: Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 3%, smart money on No; Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 95%, smart money on Yes; Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes; Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) Yes 0%, smart money on Yes.

What is smart money share?

The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.