Who's betting on 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Smart money backs Democrats 10-12%: 94% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of No. The price favours Democrats 8-10% at 27%.
- Markets
- 7 7 still open
- Traded
- $137K across the event
- Favourite
- 27% Democrats 8-10%
- Smart money pick
- 94% Democrats 10-12%
What the money says
The odds
Republicans 2-4% Yes 2% · Democrats 0-2% Yes 3% · Democrats 2-4% Yes 4% · Democrats 6-8% Yes 17% · Democrats 8-10% Yes 27%.
The smart money
Republicans 2-4%: smart money on No · Democrats 0-2%: smart money on No · Democrats 2-4%: smart money on No · Democrats 6-8%: smart money on Yes · Democrats 8-10%: smart money on No.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- Republicans 2-4%$32K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Democrats 0-2%$23K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Democrats 2-4%$21K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Democrats 6-8%$18K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Democrats 8-10%$18K vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: No
- Democrats 4-6%$14K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Democrats 10-12%$12K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
Follow the smart money on 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Polkyo scores every holder of the 7 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: Republicans 2-4% Yes 2%, smart money on No; Democrats 0-2% Yes 3%, smart money on No; Democrats 2-4% Yes 4%, smart money on No; Democrats 6-8% Yes 17%, smart money on Yes; Democrats 8-10% Yes 27%, smart money on No.
What are the Polymarket odds for 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
The biggest: Republicans 2-4% Yes 2%, smart money on No; Democrats 0-2% Yes 3%, smart money on No; Democrats 2-4% Yes 4%, smart money on No; Democrats 6-8% Yes 17%, smart money on Yes; Democrats 8-10% Yes 27%, smart money on No.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.