
Who's betting on “Spread: Iowa (-2.5)”?
Smart money leans Wisconsin: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $52K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Iowa
- 37% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · Wisconsin
- 63% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Iowa at 51¢ and Wisconsin at 50¢, a 51% implied chance of Iowa. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
37% of the money on Iowa and 63% of the money on Wisconsin is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wisconsin, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Wisconsin, by 5 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Iowa holder is 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542, with $7.3K on it, $184K lifetime loss over 2,299 markets (93% won). The largest Wisconsin holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $9.3K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,575 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $18 on Wisconsin.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 1 · $18
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsIowa$26K on it
- 10xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-178241580254293% won of 2,299$7.3K−$184K lifetime
- 2BoggsFromShawshank83% won of 328 · whale$7.3K+$10K lifetime
- 3Pwaddler63% won of 987$6.2K−$488K lifetime
- 4MAGATheeStallion98% won of 291$1.9K−$5.8K lifetime
- 50xfd8f…761d99% won of 153 · balanced$1.2K+$5.5K lifetime
Wisconsin$26K on it
- 1ferrariChampions202658% won of 29,575 · whale$9.3K+$2.4M lifetime
- 2mooseborzoi43% won of 9,480$7.4K−$11M lifetime
- 3HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,241 · whale$3.9K+$3.0M lifetime
- 4Multicoloured-Serf68% won of 118$1.7K−$181K lifetime
- 50xa697d0b3FFf7D285a0F92d6Ee03a7f97809E59d5-177432630603151% won of 15,321 · whale$948+$344K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Wisconsin vs. Iowa
4 moreOther big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Iowa (-2.5)"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Iowa holder is 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542, with $7.3K on it, $184K lifetime loss over 2,299 markets (93% won). The largest Wisconsin holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $9.3K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,575 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Iowa (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Iowa at 51¢ and Wisconsin at 50¢, a 51% implied chance of Iowa. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Iowa and 63% of the money on Wisconsin is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wisconsin, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Wisconsin, by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.