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Who's betting on “Spread: Illinois (-2.5)”?

Sports$33K traded63 holdersEnds October 31, 2026Updated October 31, 2026
50%Illinois
50%Maryland🧠 smart money

Smart money leans Maryland: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$33K
traded all time
Held now
$28K
by 63 wallets
Smart share · Illinois
42%
28 scored holders
Smart share · Maryland
85%
35 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Illinois at 50¢ and Maryland at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Illinois. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.

The smart money

42% of the money on Illinois and 85% of the money on Maryland is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Maryland, by 43 points.

Who holds it

63 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Illinois holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.1K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,241 markets (56% won). The largest Maryland holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $7.6K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,783 markets (58% won).

Illinois50%
Smart money share42%
Holders
28
Money on it
$8.9K
Holders' win rate
65%
Maryland50%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share85%
Holders
35
Money on it
$19K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Illinois$8.9K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 22,241 · whale$3.1K+$3.0M lifetime
  2. 2Multicoloured-Serf70% won of 125$2.4K−$181K lifetime
  3. 3MAGATheeStallion98% won of 291$1.2K−$5.8K lifetime
  4. 4mooseborzoi44% won of 9,540$764−$11M lifetime
  5. 5nigiri9947% won of 17,642$677−$1.3M lifetime

Maryland$19K on it

  1. 1ferrariChampions202658% won of 29,783 · whale$7.6K+$2.4M lifetime
  2. 20x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-172091857796183% won of 324 · whale$3.4K+$37K lifetime
  3. 33879187398418945% won of 94,157 · whale$2.3K+$210K lifetime
  4. 4jole2483% won of 365$2.2K−$2.7K lifetime
  5. 50x0A77exmm82% won of 660 · whale$1.1K+$39K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Illinois (-2.5)"?

63 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Illinois holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.1K on it, $3.0M lifetime profit over 22,241 markets (56% won). The largest Maryland holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $7.6K on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 29,783 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Illinois (-2.5)"?

Polymarket prices Illinois at 50¢ and Maryland at 50¢, a 50% implied chance of Illinois. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

42% of the money on Illinois and 85% of the money on Maryland is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Maryland, by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.