Who's betting on “Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $847K traded all time
- Held now
- $437K by 770 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 617 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 139 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 52¢ and No at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Yes. $847K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
Who holds it
770 wallets hold a position worth $437K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 756 of them. The largest Yes holder is Flaznorp, with $54K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 153,910 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is DitieForlan, with $16K on it, $275K lifetime loss.
Sharp money
3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4.3K on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $13K on No.
- Holders
- 627
- Money on it
- $353K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 3 · $4.3K
- Holders
- 143
- Money on it
- $84K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Insider flags
- 1 · $13K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$353K on it
- 1Flaznorp52% won of 153,910 · whale$54K+$1.1M lifetime
- 2nigiri9947% won of 17,642$34K−$1.3M lifetime
- 3strominion88% won of 8$22K+$45K lifetime
- 4purplegatto73% won of 3,631$22K−$1.9M lifetime
- 5surfandturf52% won of 799$20K−$77K lifetime
No$84K on it
- 1DitieForlanno record yet$16K−$275K lifetime
- 2olegio64% won of 254 · whale$9.6K+$28K lifetime
- 30x2112…b871no record yet$8.7K
- 4shark14233% won of 1,116$7.2K−$1.1M lifetime
- 50xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-175561244774083% won of 518$5.8K−$453K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
2 moreOther big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$38M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.4M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$3.4M vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?"?
770 wallets hold a position worth $437K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 756 of them. The largest Yes holder is Flaznorp, with $54K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 153,910 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is DitieForlan, with $16K on it, $275K lifetime loss.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 52¢ and No at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Yes. $847K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on No ($13K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.