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Who's betting on “Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz”?

Sports$470K traded396 holdersEnds November 7, 2026Updated October 31, 2026
12%Daniil Medvedev🧠 smart money
88%Carlos Alcaraz

Smart money leans Daniil Medvedev: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$470K
traded all time
Held now
$193K
by 396 wallets
Smart share · Daniil Medvedev
62%
166 scored holders
Smart share · Carlos Alcaraz
39%
223 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Daniil Medvedev at 12¢ and Carlos Alcaraz at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of Carlos Alcaraz. $470K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

The smart money

62% of the money on Daniil Medvedev and 39% of the money on Carlos Alcaraz is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Daniil Medvedev, by 24 points.

Who holds it

396 wallets hold a position worth $193K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 389 of them. The largest Daniil Medvedev holder is Nooserac, with $7.1K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 3,139 markets (60% won). The largest Carlos Alcaraz holder is 0F62, with $20K on it, $241K lifetime loss over 1,359 markets (67% won).

Daniil Medvedev12%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share62%
Holders
168
Money on it
$25K
Holders' win rate
65%
Carlos Alcaraz88%
Smart money share39%
Holders
228
Money on it
$169K
Holders' win rate
66%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Daniil Medvedev$25K on it

  1. 1Nooserac60% won of 3,139 · whale$7.1K+$1.4M lifetime
  2. 2wingwingwin82% won of 378$4.5K−$88K lifetime
  3. 3jtwyslljy45% won of 1,596 · whale$1.9K+$1.7M lifetime
  4. 4AnonymousUsername70% won of 6,208 · whale$1.6K+$459K lifetime
  5. 5TSFSYD49% won of 548 · whale$1.0K+$30K lifetime

Carlos Alcaraz$169K on it

  1. 10F6267% won of 1,359$20K−$241K lifetime
  2. 2UpTheBlues69% won of 91,266 · whale$19K+$1.4M lifetime
  3. 3Novelty880% won of 384$17K−$122K lifetime
  4. 4651239531459788449% won of 12,192$13K−$36K lifetime
  5. 5Fadepix42% won of 259$13K−$279K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz"?

396 wallets hold a position worth $193K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 389 of them. The largest Daniil Medvedev holder is Nooserac, with $7.1K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 3,139 markets (60% won). The largest Carlos Alcaraz holder is 0F62, with $20K on it, $241K lifetime loss over 1,359 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz"?

Polymarket prices Daniil Medvedev at 12¢ and Carlos Alcaraz at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of Carlos Alcaraz. $470K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

62% of the money on Daniil Medvedev and 39% of the money on Carlos Alcaraz is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Daniil Medvedev, by 24 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.