
Who's betting on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?”?
Finance · $276K volume · Ends November 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $276K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
260 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is boyau, with $825 on it, $743K lifetime profit over 664 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is luck00004, with $8.1K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 51 markets (90% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 86%
- Holders
- 135
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 39%
- Holders
- 125
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| boyauwhale | $825 | +$743K | 48% of 664 |
| TimRobwhale | $150 | +$21K | 56% of 283 |
| WharfMan | $77 | -$88K | 50% of 705 |
| BurGive | $48 | +$840 | 100% of 3 |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse | $46 | -$28K | 96% of 895 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| luck00004 | $8.1K | -$313K | 90% of 51 |
| 881112whale | $4.5K | +$442K | 60% of 1,101 |
| 0xfAC31080805e6d2b1691Eb9BeeA998A04Dbb99FF-1772962139269 | $3.6K | -$1.5K | 57% of 14 |
| 0x8888A4F8c8D3834482d77405530d7f5428A40b39-1769323876037 | $2.4K | -$37K | 58% of 295 |
| 0xF28C7B2efA875580A79F8C8810DEFf374f51Cdf8-1774419743181 | $2.3K | -$15K | 61% of 216 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
- ↑ $115$502K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- ↑ $120$427K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- ↑ $105$373K vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ $130$298K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↓ $80$275K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- ↑ $110$252K vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ $150$214K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↓ $60$169K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↓ $65$169K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ $140$126K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↓ $75$95K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ $95$88K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ $90$79K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ $70$70K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ $125$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↓ $50$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↑ $100$479K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $95$222K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- ↓ $90$23K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- ↓ $90$13K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Who's betting on What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? →
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?"?
260 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is boyau, with $825 on it, $743K lifetime profit over 664 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is luck00004, with $8.1K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 51 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $276K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.