Who's betting on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?”?

Finance · $276K volume · Ends November 1, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $276K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

260 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is boyau, with $825 on it, $743K lifetime profit over 664 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is luck00004, with $8.1K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 51 markets (90% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.

Yes4%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86%
Holders
135
Money on it
$1.5K
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
1 · $0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money share
39%
Holders
125
Money on it
$37K
Holders' winrate
71%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
boyauwhale$825+$743K48% of 664
TimRobwhale$150+$21K56% of 283
WharfMan$77-$88K50% of 705
BurGive$48+$840100% of 3
WhoseHouseRamsHouse$46-$28K96% of 895
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
luck00004$8.1K-$313K90% of 51
881112whale$4.5K+$442K60% of 1,101
0xfAC31080805e6d2b1691Eb9BeeA998A04Dbb99FF-1772962139269$3.6K-$1.5K57% of 14
0x8888A4F8c8D3834482d77405530d7f5428A40b39-1769323876037$2.4K-$37K58% of 295
0xF28C7B2efA875580A79F8C8810DEFf374f51Cdf8-1774419743181$2.3K-$15K61% of 216
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?"?

260 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is boyau, with $825 on it, $743K lifetime profit over 664 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is luck00004, with $8.1K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 51 markets (90% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $276K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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