Who's betting on “Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 30 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
30 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is acal, with $11 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 520 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Suirenzirou, with $4.0K on it, $791 lifetime loss over 265 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $36
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$36 on it
- 1acal79% won of 520 · whale$11+$15K lifetime
- 2LovelyPanda45% won of 2,518$9−$234 lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,414 · whale$8+$132K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 16,178 · noise$4+$28K lifetime
- 574744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.98% won of 1,034 · whale$1+$2.9K lifetime
No$7.2K on it
- 1Suirenzirou95% won of 265$4.0K−$791 lifetime
- 2KTKK74% won of 202 · whale$3.0K+$5.4K lifetime
- 3west7772% won of 211 · balanced$177+$13K lifetime
- 4nelsonc1970% won of 269$20−$275 lifetime
- 5Dolba73% won of 200 · whale$15+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?"?
30 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is acal, with $11 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 520 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Suirenzirou, with $4.0K on it, $791 lifetime loss over 265 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.