Who's betting on “Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 52% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 20% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 15, 2027.
The smart money
20% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $251
- Holders' win rate
- 29%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $890
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
1 moreOther big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 15, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
20% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 15, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.