Who's betting on “Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 40% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $846 by 35 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
Who holds it
35 wallets hold a position worth $846 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $59 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $93 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,896 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $259
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $587
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$259 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$59+$255K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$50−$485K lifetime
- 3Eqqs48% won of 176$36−$1.2K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$27−$4.7M lifetime
- 5financegaaaydog65% won of 620$23−$1.4K lifetime
No$587 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$93+$28K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$89−$377K lifetime
- 3Gaujmalietis96% won of 218 · grinder$78+$4.1K lifetime
- 4leadernew43% won of 7,493$58−$7.2K lifetime
- 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$53−$89K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $846 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $59 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $93 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,896 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.