Who's betting on “Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $346 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $748 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $740
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$740 on it
- 10xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$346+$91K lifetime
- 2RayGuy91% won of 22 · balanced$67+$5.4K lifetime
- 3sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$47−$28K lifetime
- 4tywwetherididi55% won of 274 · balanced$41+$1.2K lifetime
- 50xD056D2E765630Ee61850a7c743A30E20D2E2F1be-176451277003187% won of 226 · grinder$38+$7.3K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$748+$8.7K lifetime
- 2EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$475+$38K lifetime
- 3Lehamous43% won of 7$188−$265 lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$25+$97K lifetime
- 50xcbe7…95d450% won of 18$12−$7 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Turner Prize 2026 Winner
2 more- Kira Freije$18K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Simeon Barclay$13K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xdc3E831cad, with $346 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 1,081 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $748 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.